Calculating the expected rate of return


Task: Risk, Return, and the Capital Asset Pricing Model

As a first day intern at Tri-Star Management Incorporated the CEO asks you to analyze the following information pertaining to two common stock investments, Tech.com Incorporated and Sam’s Grocery Corporation. You are told that a one-year Treasury Bill will have a rate of return of 5% over the next year. Also, information from an investment advising service lists the current beta for Tech.com as 1.68 and for Sam’s Grocery as 0.52. You are provided a series of questions to guide your analysis.

                                                                      Estimated Rate of Return             

Economy             Probability          Tech.com     Sam's Grocery     S&P 500

Recession                   30%                  -20%                    5%                 - 4%

Average                      20%                    15%                    6%                  11%           

Expansion                  35%                    30%                    8%                  17%

Boom                         15%                    50%                  10%                  27%

Assignment:

Q1. Calculate the expected rate of return for Tech.com Incorporated, Sam’s Grocery Corporation, and the S&P 500 Index.

Q2. Calculate the standard deviations in estimated rates of return for Tech.com Incorporated, Sam’s Grocery Corporation, and the S&P 500 Index.

Q3. Which is a better measure of risk for the common stock of Tech.com Incorporated and Sam’s Grocery Corporation—the standard deviation you calculated in Question 2 or the beta?

Q4. Based on the beta provided, what is the expected rate of return for Tech.com Incorporated and Sam’s Grocery Corporation for the next year?

Q5. If you form a two-stock portfolio by investing $30,000 in Tech.com Incorporated and $70,000 in Sam’s Grocery Corporation, what is the portfolio beta and expected rate of return?

Q6. If you form a two-stock portfolio by investing $70,000 in Tech.com Incorporated and $30,000 in Sam’s Grocery Corporation, what is the portfolio beta and expected rate of return?

Q7. Which of these two-stock portfolios do you prefer? Why?

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Accounting Basics: Calculating the expected rate of return
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