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Chase Econometrics has just published projected inflation rates for the United States and Euro-zone for the next five years. U.S. inflation is expected to be 2% per year, and Euro-zone inflation is expected to be 3.5% per year. If the current exchange rate is 1.4500 $ per €, what should the expected PPP implied €/$ exchange rates be five years from now?

1.3479

1.5597

1.4289

1.4713

According to the international Fisher effect, if U.S. investors expect a 5% rate of domestic inflation over one year, and a 2% rate of inflation in Japan, and require a 3% real return on investments over one year, the nominal interest rate on one-year U.S. Treasury securities would be:

2%

3%

-2%

5.06%

8.15%

According to the Big Mac Index, the implied PPP exchange rate is Mexican peso 8.50/$1 but the actual exchange rate is peso10.80/$1. Thus, at current exchange rates the peso appears to be ________ by ________.

overvalued; approximately 21%

overvalued; approximately 27%

undervalued; approximately 21%

undervalued; approximately 27%

Assume a nominal interest rate on one-year U.S. Treasury Bills of 4.60% and a real rate of interest of 2.50%. Using the Fisher Effect Equation, what is the expected rate of inflation in the U.S. over the next year?

1.905%

2.068%

2.048%

2.00%

Suppose that the current spot exchange rate is 6.25 Swedish Krona per $ and the three-month forward exchange rate is 6.28 SEK per $. The three-month interest rate is 5.6% per annum in the U.S. and 8.8% per annum in Sweden. Assume that you can borrow up USto $1,000,000 or SEK 6,250,000. Can you generate arbitrage profits? Show your profits both in USD and SEK terms.

$ 4,250

SEK 4,250

$ 3,118

SEK 3,118

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