--%>
Assignment Help - homework help

Analysing the Probabilities

1. In the waning seconds of Superbowl XLVII, the Baltimore Ravens elected to take a safety rather than punt the ball. A sports statistician wishes to analyze the effect this decision had on the probability of winning the game.

(a) Which two of the following probabilities would most help the statistician perform his analysis? P(Win¦Safety); P(Safety¦Win); P(Punt¦Win); P(Win¦Punt); P(Win); P(Win∩Safety), P(Win∩Punt)?

(b) Define (in words) what the probabilities that you selected in part (a) mean and explain (in words) why they would be useful to the analysis.

2. Let A1;A2, and A3 be events in Ω. Show that P(A1 ∩ A2 ∩ A3) = P(A1¦A2 ∩ A3)P(A2¦A3)P(A3).

3. Let A and B be events such that P(A) > 0 and P(B) > 0. Show that P(AjB) = 1 - P(A¦B)

4. A business is keeping track of how many of two parts A and B are ordered, and whether those orders are completed on time or late. The data is in the table below.

1373_mandeep.png

(a) Find c1 and c2.

(b) Do type of part ordered and delivery time appear to be independent?

(c) A customer calls and angrily complains that the part he ordered was late without giving any more details. Which type of part did the customer most likely order?

5. A medical company is developing a new test for breast cancer. Based on lab results, the test appears to have 90% specicity (the percentage of all women without the disease that the test correctly identies) and 95% sensitivity (the percentage of all women with the disease that the test correctly identies). Suppose that 12% of women who take this test have breast cancer.

(a) What is the false positive rate for this test?

(b) What is the false negative rate for this test?

(c) How will the false positive and false negative rates for this test be a ected if the percentage of women with breast cancer decreases?

6. An urn contains a red ball, a white ball, a green ball, and a plaid ball. A single ball is randomly drawn from the urn. Let A be the event that either the red ball or the plaid ball is drawn, let B be the event that either the white ball or the plaid ball is drawn, and let C be the event that the green ball or the plaid ball is drawn.

(a) What is P(A υ B υ C)?

(b) Are A, B, and C independent from each other?

(c) Are A, B, and C mutually independent?

7. You have two decks of cards in front of you. One deck is a standard 52 card deck with four aces. The other also has 52 cards, but eight aces instead of four. You randomly choose a deck and draw two cards without replacement.

(a) What is the probability of drawing at least one ace?

(b) Given that you drew at least one ace, what is the probability that you drew from the standard deck?

 

 

 

   Related Questions in Advanced Statistics

  • Q : Use the law of iterated expectation to

    Suppose we have a stick of length L. We break it once at some point X _

    Q : Discrete and continuous data

    Distinguish between discrete and continuous data in brief.

    		•
  • Q : Components of time series Name and

    Name and elaborate the four components of time series in brief.

    		•
  • Q : Describe how random sampling serves

    Explain sampling bias and describe how random sampling serves to avoid bias in the process of data collection.    

    		•
  • Q : Probability on expected number of days

    It doesn't rain often in Tucson. Yet, when it does, I want to be prepared. I have 2 umbrellas at home and 1 umbrella in my office. Before I leave my house, I check if it is raining. If it is, I take one of the umbrellas with me to work, where I would leave it. When I

    		•
  • Q : Pearsons correlation coefficient The

    The table below illustrates the relationship between two variable X and Y. A

    		•
  • Q : Statistics A nurse practitioner working

    A nurse practitioner working in a dermatology clinic is studying the efficacy of tretinoin in treating women’s post partum abdominal stretch marks. From a sample of 15 women, the mean reduction of stretch mark score is -0.33 with a sample standard deviation of 2.46. Describe what happens to the c

    		•
  • Q : Find the cumulative distribution

    You must use the pre-formatted cover sheet when you hand in the assignment. Out full detailed solutions. Sloppy work will naturally receive a lower score. 1. Suppose at each step, a particle moving on sites labelled by integer has three choices: move one site to the right with pro

    		•
  • Q : Calculate confidence interval A nurse

    A nurse anesthetist was experimenting with the use of nitronox as an anesthetic in the treatment of children's fractures of the arm.  She treated 50 children and found that the mean treatment time (in minutes) was 26.26 minutes with a sample standard deviation of

    		•
  • Q : Probability of Rolling die problem A

    A fair die is rolled (independently) 12 times. (a) Let X denote the total number of 1’s in 12 rolls. Find the expected value and variance of X. (b) Determine the probability of obtaining e

    		•