Reason for the decline in crime rates


Is the national crime rate really going down? Some sociologists say yes! They say that the reason for the decline in crime rates in the 1980s and 1990s is demographics. It seems that the population is aging, and older people commit fewer crimes. According to the FBI and the Justice Department, 70% of all arrests are of males aged 15 to 34 years. (Source: True Odds, by J. Walsh, Merritt Publishing.) Suppose you are a sociologist in Rock Springs, Wyoming, and a random sample of police files showed that of 36 arrests last month, 25 were of males aged 15 to 34 years. Use a 5% level of significance to test the claim that the population proportion of such arrests in Rock Springs is different from 70%. Solve the problem using both the critical region method and the P-value method. Since the sampling distribution of is the normal distribution, you can use critical values from the standard normal distribution. (Round any intermediate calculations to at least four decimal places. Round the test statistic and critical value to two decimal places. Round the P-value to four decimal places.)

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Basic Statistics: Reason for the decline in crime rates
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