Probability of no false-positives


Millions of Americans are subjected to drug testing in the workplace. The tests are not always reliable. A false positive rate of 5% is considered to be a conservative estimate. Suppose that there are 40 employees in your company, which test its workers monthly.

a.) What is the probability of no false-positives for this month's test?

b.) What is the probability of at least one false-positive for this month's test?

c.) What is the likelihood that the test will give 5 to 10 false-positives?

d.) What is the chance of at most 3 false-positive?

e.) How many false-positives should the company expect with what standard deviation?

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Basic Statistics: Probability of no false-positives
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