Probabilities of winning


NYS Lottery's Pick 10 game: You pick 10 integers between 1 and 80 (including 1 and 80).  The state picks 20 numbers.  If all 10 of your numbers are among the state's 20 numbers you win $500,000. (Note that the state won't give $500,000 to each winner if too many people get 10 numbers among the 20 but we will assume that you always get the $500,000 if you match the numbers.)  On the webpage you will find the following information:

   

Winning Numbers Matched

   
   

Prize

   
   

Chances of Winning

   
  

10

  
  

$500,000*

  
  

1 in: 8,911,711

  
  

9

  
  

$6,000

  
  

1 in: 163,381

  
  

8

  
  

$300

  
  

1 in: 7,384

  
  

7

  
  

$40

  
  

1 in: 621

  
  

6

  
  

$10

  
  

1 in: 87

  
  

0

 
  

$4

  
  

1 in: 22

  

a) Show how you get the probabilities of winning all of the above amounts.

b) Find the expected winnings.

c) Find the expected gain after paying $1 to play.

d) Why do you think that you win something if you match 0 numbers, rather than say winning something if you match 5 numbers?

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Basic Statistics: Probabilities of winning
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