Project
Network connection diagram and data are as follows
|
Component
|
Failure rate (Dec./yr)
|
Repair time (hr/occ.)
|
Capacity (MW)
|
|
L1
|
0.3
|
16
|
300
|
|
L2
|
0.5
|
16
|
300
|
|
75MW unit
|
2
|
60
|
75
|
|
300MW unit
|
2.5
|
80
|
300
|
|
Load
|
-
|
-
|
400
|
Bus 1 connects with four 75 MW generating units and Bus 2 connects with one 300 MW generating unit.
Please do the following work:
(1) Please calculate the availability of each component.
(2) Please use analytic enumeration method to calculate the LOLP, LOLF and EENS of the system.
(3) Let the total sample number is 1,000,000, please use non :sequential Monte Carlo simulation method to calculate the LOLP, LOLF and EENS of the system.
(4) Please plot the figure of the LOLP, LOLF and EENS of the system vs. the number of samples.
(5) Please compared the calculation results of LOLP, LOLF and EENS of the system between analytic enumeration method and non-sequential Monte Carlo simulation method.
(6) Please respectively compare the proportion of unit failure event, line failure event and the mix of unit and line failure event in the LOLP, LOLF and EENS of the system in 1,000,000 Monte Carlo random event samples.