--%>
Assignment Help - homework help

Mascot Simulation

Simulation with Crystal Ball


Provided Workbook: Mascot Simulation
Relevant Readings:"Discounted Cash Flow Modeling" folder + Textbook Chapter 4.
This is an individual assignment.

 


Mascot Industries (B)


Consider Mascot's investment decision modeled in HW2.
Mascot now realizes that some of the assumptions made are not quite correct.

For example, the projected receivables for both machines are rather unreliable. It is likely that such projections will diverge significantly from their originally estimated 4-year mean. A normal distribution around the mean, with twice the originally predicted 4-year standard deviation, sounds reasonable to reflect such uncertainty.

Also, the purchase price of the new machine is not guaranteed. Most likely, Mascot will pay the originally estimated amount but it is possible that the price be as low as $240,000 or as high as $270,000. Mascot agrees that the uncertain purchase price should follow a triangular distribution.

Mascot's CFO wants to evaluate how these uncertain variables might affect the project's net present value.


Using Crystal Ball, run a simulation in Workbook "Mascot Simulation B" and provide answers to the following questions. Make sure that you copy the full report of your simulation in a separate worksheet.
You will also be asked to load your spreadsheet at the end of this assignment.

Questions.
Using the distributions described above, set up a simulation in the "Crystal Ball Model B" worksheet.
Run 10,000 trials and attach the full report in a worksheet called "simulation B".

In the "Interpretation" worksheet, provide answers to the following questions:

1) Based on simulation results, are you 100% confident that Mascot should acquire the new machine? Explain.
2) How much effort should Mascot allocate at securing the lowest possible purchase price for the new machine? Explain using the simulation results.

   Related Questions in Finance Basics

  • Q : Describe difference between business

    Describe difference between business risk and financial risk?Business risk refers to the uncertainty company hold regarding to its operating income (also termed as earnings before interest & taxes or EBIT). Business risk is brought onto sale

    		•
  • Q : Finance End of Chapter Problems Page

    End of Chapter Problems Page 150 5.2 The Audiology Department at Randall Clinic offers many services to the clinic’s patients. The three most common , along with cost and utilization data, are as follows: Service Variable cost per service Annual Direct Fixed cost Annual Number of Visits Basic

    		•
  • Q : What is Capital Outlay Capital Outlay

    Capital Outlay (CO): A character of expenses of funds to obtain land, plan and build new buildings, expand or transform existing buildings, and/or purchase tools associated to such construction.

    		•
  • Q : Example-implicitly-weighed marginal

    Cite three example of recent decisions which you made in which you, at least implicitly, weighed marginal costs & marginal benefits.

    		•
  • Q : Explain the role of a dealer in the OTC

    Normal 0 false false

    		•
  • Q : Define Reserve Reserve: The amount of a

    Reserve: The amount of a fund balance set sideways to give for expenditures from the unencumbered balance for ongoing appropriations, future apportionments, and economic uncertainties, pending salary or price raise appropriations, and appropriations f

    		•
  • Q : Explain non diversifiable risk and how

    Explain non diversifiable risk? How is it measured? Unless the returns of one-half the assets into a portfolio are entirely negatively correlated along with the other half-that is extremely unlikely-some risk will

    		•
  • Q : Influence of opportunity costs How do

    How do opportunity costs influence the capital budgeting decision-making procedure? Opportunity costs reflect the foregone benefits of alternative not selected when a capital budgeting project is chosen. Any decrease in the cash flows of the fi

    		•
  • Q : Define the term Baseline Adjustment or

    Define the term Baseline Adjustment or  Baseline Budget: Baseline Adjustment: Also termed to as Workload Budget Adjustment.

    Q : What is Out-of-State Travel blanket

    Out-of-State Travel (OST) blanket: The request by a state agency for Governor’s Office approval of the proposed out-of-state trips to be taken by that agency’s personnel throughout the fiscal year.

    		•